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  • Ute Fan Board

    rbmw263
    10

    spread got up to +6.5 and just dove down to +5

    jumps that big dont happen without bets from the maths people. 

  • Tony
    3

    Some big money put on the Utes.

    • Micah Montgomery
      3 1

      It’s a game that the Utes circled on the calendar and rightfully so. Despite the mildly lopsided h2h record, beating UDUB gives your squad instantaneous street cred and clout and would bump you up in the rankings not to mention an early edge in conference records. On the Flip side the Dawgs still can’t get the sour taste out the mouth from the Auburn game. An opportunity to bounce back against a Solid Ute squad and rock that ass in the process will bode well with the committee. Utah ain’t a scrub squad at all they’re borderline elite if they can chalk one up against the Dawgs 

      • IglooDweller
        1

        Pfthfthfthfth. Just another game…🙄

        • Micah Montgomery
          5 2

          Not when you’re 1-9 all time against the dawgs. This is the game Utah wants to win most. Plus it’ll be nationally televised you should be thanking us for the exposure and the cash money you get through association alone. Funny thing is Utah is probably the PAC team I hate the least lol. Oregon and Wazzu top that list

          • IglooDweller
            2

            Meh. 

            Utes 59-2

          • Duhwayne
            2

            Not sure why you’re getting guff. You’re not wrong. I’m hoping it’s a good game and injury free. If UW wins I want you to go all the way. We need a couple teams on New Years.

            • IglooDweller
              2

              Yup.  It’s a mystery, like, fer sure. 

          • Tony

            Actually USC is the game we want to win most.

    • Micah Montgomery
      1

      I got a hundy on it already with a Utah fan. Do Ute fans honor their bets? Lol I’m sure they do bro

      • Central Coast Ute
        3

        Just like anyone it depends. Hope you lose your $100.

    • rbmw263

      Its not the amount being bet its about who is betting. At least for the major team sports. Vegas knows they will always beat the average degenerate in the long run and do not react much to them, even if that means they have individual games that are massive cash liabilities. The ones they actually care about are the quantitatives. Action from them is what moves the lines. This is why you see lines move toward a side getting <35% of the money regularly. They are so reactionary to this certain group of individuals that at these math folk often place preliminary bets to move the line a point in the direction they want and then they hammer it. Which is why line movement in the last 48-72 tells you a lot more than earlly line movement 

      Getting even money on both sides is a strange widely perpetuated myth. There is a massive “they just want to encourage people to bet team x” echochamber. Usually regarding lower tier/smaller market teams. Which sounds good but when you think about it from a probability pov, it doesnt make sense. Vegas would absolutely love you to place your bets based on which team is the bigger name or which is the bigger market.

      Vegas makes money protecting themselves from the small group of sharps, and from the vig. The rest, with a large sample size (its very large) over a long enough period of time, because of variance and the neccessary break even win point of 52.5% for gamblers, math says they will win.

  • Johnny
    2

    Take the points. The Utes are going to cream U-Dub.