Sagarin has us at 20th, having played the 4th toughest schedule in the country

[rbmw263]

stat models/vegas love us, and we really havent put it all together yet. The ceiling of this team remains very high.

[St George Ute]

Nice! I keep an eye on the Massey ratings each week. It has us favored to win all our remaining games. The Stanford win had a big part in that I think. IIRC, before Stanford I believe it had us losing 2 (incl. Stanford and Colorado), and had us in a toss-up with Oregon.

Massey Ratings

Massey projections:

– South Division –

Utah projected to go 10-2 (7-2 in conference)

USC is favored in 5 of their next 7, 8-4 overall (7-2 in conf)

Colorado is favored in only 3 of their next 7 games, if that holds true, then they finish 8-4 overall (5-4 in conf)

Arizona is favored in 1 of their next 6, 4-8 overall (3-6 in conf)

ASU is favored in 2 of their next 6, 5-7 overall (3-6 in conf)

UCLA isn’t favored in any game, winless on the season, OUCH!

If all the south projections work out as above, then Utah wins the South with the tiebreaker against USC.

– North Division –

Washington is favored to win all their remaining games, (11-1, 9-0 in conf)

Stanford would finish 2nd (8-4, 7-2), followed by Wazzu (9-3, 6-3), Oregon (8-4, 5-4), Cal (5-7, 2-7),  and Oregon St (1-11, 0-9)

Then Utah v Washington in the PAC-12 Championship game. I’d love another chance at the Dawgs.

Go Utes!!!

[Mano]

Not to be “that guy”, but the Massey ratings having Utah as the favorites in the rest of their games is not the same as projecting that they go 10-2. If you are a 51-49 favorite in every game, you would be projected to finish around .500, not to go undefeated. If you believe the percentages Massey has for Utah, they would project Utah going 8-4.

[St George Ute]

You are correct good sir. I kneel at your feet :).

Allow me to update:

South:
USC (7-5, 6-3)
Co (8-4, 5-4)
Utah (8-4, 5-4)
AZ (5-7, 4-5)
ASU (6-6, 4-5)
UCLA (2-10, 2-7)

North:
UW (10-2, 8-1)
Stan (8-4, 6-3)
WSU (9-3, 6-3)
OR (8-4, 5-4)
Cal (5-7, 2-7)
OSU (2-10, 1-8)

Well crap…I liked my first results better. 😉

[Matthew Thomas Castleton]

Stanford would be 9-3, not 8-4 if they go 7-2 in conference. They went 2-1 in non- conference play (wins vs. San Diego State and UC Davis, loss @ Notre Dame), which would make their record 9-3 (7-2).

[RiseasUtes]

Had we just had a decent offense against Washington St(or a phantom block in the back not called) this season would be looking pretty decent.  Now we have to win out to have a shot at the south.  We have the players, but we still have some tough games ahead.