Thank you for the detailed post. Love the in-depth analysis!
I did arrive at 7-5 the way it was broken down, but I mention that realistically I’m leaning 8-4, which is close to your 9-3 prediction. I want to be even higher on the 2023 team, but the schedule, conf strength, and our away game record give me a pause.
Frankly, I’m not sure what to make of our away losses. UF was mediocre, but we tend to start slow and opening in the swamp was never going to be easy, so there’s that. And how’re we viewing the UCLA and UO losses? Were those teams truly better than us, or are we just not a very good away team? Regardless, if a similar yardstick is applied to 2023, a combined record of 1-3 @ UW, USC, UO, OSU is not a stretch.
Having said that, there are 2 factors that make me hopeful: the RB room and STs. RB, which is usually one of our biggest strengths, was average at best in 2022. With TT gone and JJ showing tremendous promise, I think we will be back to our usual self there. And STs, which have been in shambles the past 2 years, should only trend up (Right? Right?? One could argue we win the UF and UO games with an average kicker). This could take some pressure off Cam, and could ultimately be the difference between 8-4 and 10-2.
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