Last year’s record: 10-4
Chance to make playoff: 7.2%
Chance to win national title: 0.4%
Toughest test: Sept. 3 at Florida. It’s a tricky trip to the Swamp, and ESPN’s FPI gives the Gators a slight edge to win at 52.1%. A Utah win, though, would resonate through Selection Day and give the Utes some wiggle room in conference play.
What the committee will like: No divisions. The Pac-12 scrapped the North and South Divisions, effective immediately, so its two best teams are guaranteed to face each other in the conference title game. While it’s possible Utah faces Oregon in a familiar North-South duel, the new rule opens the door for Utah to play USC in a rematch and potentially redeem itself for a regular-season loss. Of course, it could also work the other way. Regardless, the Pac-12 winner has a better chance to get a résumé boost from its title game.
What the committee won’t like: The No. 64 strength of schedule. This is the lowest of any of the contenders listed here. Without a win against the Gators, Utah’s nonconference schedule includes Southern Utah and San Diego State. It’s going to need the selection committee to rank at least Oregon and USC in its Top 25.
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