Updated FPI is interesting… it now expects us to win the South (giving us twice the % likelihood of winning the conference as USC, the only other South team they give any chance to) DESPITE assuming we drop one of our regular season games (AND it gives us only a 1 in 3 chance of winning the championship game, compared with 2 in 3 chance for North team which they currently strongly expect to be Washington). It expects both USC and Colo to lose again (USC to either ASU or UCLA – !!!! – and Colo to Wazzu). Although we are favored in each of our head to heads, it expects us to drop one of our two road games (ASU or Colo), which is reflected in each of ASU/Colo’s partial game win projections. Not an unreasonable projection given our historical performance in recent years, but, based on how this team has come together – absent injuries or gift-wrapped TDs like the 3 we provided to SC – it feels different this year and I really don’t think we’ll be threatened in any of our remaining games. Hopefully there’s no WTF game left on the schedule, in which case I’ll see you in Santa Clara!
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