Unfortunately since fespn bought Bill C, more thorough s&p stats are not publicly available, but an analysis like the one i did vs ASU produces 1 same result. We are better on both sides of the ball in run and pass. Start with the Offense (which is closer due to SOS)
OFFENSE
Pass (natl rank)
Utah:
Yards per attempt – 10.7 (5)
QB Rating – 183.65 (6)
Oregon:
Yards per attempt – 8.2 (29)
QB Rating – 162.42 (11
Run
Utah:
Yards per attempt – 4.96 (32)
Yards per game – 214 (23)
Oregon:
Yards per attempt – 4.88 (37)
Yards per game – 178 (46)
The reason the Offensive margin is closer…. SOS of defenses faced (per FEI)
Utah – 74
Oregon – 56
but where the separation really comes is on defense
DEFENSE
Run
Utah:
Yards per play: 2.2 (1) and 1/3 yard over 2nd in the nation
Oregon:
Yards per play: 3.2 (14)
Pass
Utah:
Yards per attempt – 5.7 (5)
QB rating allowed – 107.5 (4)
12 TDs and 13 INTs
Oregon:
Yards per attempt – 6.1 (14)
QB rating allowed – 113 (15)
15 TD and 17 INT
SOS of offenses faced
Utah 54
Oregon 66
FEI puts Utahs offense/defense ranks at 9 and 5 respectively. Oregon 20 and 13
Overall F+ rankings put Utah at 6 with Oregon 18
The margin isnt massive. But again, Utah has the edge in every category. That should ultimately wear them down with an ultimate positive in all 4 areas over a larger sample size. Obviously the weather will be the ultimate x factor. Keep it clean and this is a W
I, too, miss the S&P individual game breakdowns. Happy Connelly got paid, but haven’t yet found an equal replacement.
You did a nice job here – agree that Utah is probably the better team this year – hope they show it to the world tonight!
You guys should try sharpcollegefootball.com’s Beta Rank. It’s similar to SP+ and let’s you dive pretty deep into team’s analytics.
Beta rank is awesome. Posted their chart on this game a few days ago. Here it is
FPI has Utah 8th on offense, 5th on defense and 5th overall. Oregon 22nd on O, 12 on D and 12 overall
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