SP+ gives them a 36% of winning the pac 12, best in the conference. As a side note, Florida is back up to 21st in sagarin. We should have won that game, sure, but its not nearly as bad of a loss as it appears to be on the surface. Florida can be really good, especially at home. Nevertheless, a big missed opportunity, and we are 2-2 against the top 30 while we very much could be 3-1