Josh replied to the topic Rose bowl tickets in the forum Football 1 year, 4 months ago
Any idea which side of stadium is Utah?
Josh replied to the topic Why is this team different from the previous PAC12 teams that imploded in the forum Football 4 years, 5 months ago
The biggest difference in my opinion is predictability.
In the past we were a more one dimensional team on both defense and offense.
By that I don’t mean we could only run or only throw, but I mean our running game was predictable (same lanes, same plays, same downs) and our throwing game was predictable (same plays, same receivers, same d…[Read more]
Josh replied to the topic UCLA is going to be a much tougher game than I thought in the forum Football 4 years, 5 months ago
When will kickoff time be announced?
Josh replied to the topic Massey has Utah #7, favored to win all remaining regular season contests. Ki-yi! in the forum Football 4 years, 5 months ago
Massey says odds of 3 wins is 83% and odds of 2 wins is 15.7%
Josh replied to the topic Massey has Utah #7, favored to win all remaining regular season contests. Ki-yi! in the forum Football 4 years, 5 months ago
Yeah my 92, 93, and 97.5 give odds of 83.4% chance of not losing another game
Josh replied to the topic Massey has Utah #7, favored to win all remaining regular season contests. Ki-yi! in the forum Football 4 years, 5 months ago
Not Monty hall. What I’m saying is that the odds of winning out are pretty straight forward:
97% * 91% * 92* = 81.2% chance of winning out
The problem with this is that we don’t really care about winning out.
As soon as we lose one more game, our chances of going to Pac12 championship and CFP are reduced significantly.
So what we really car…[Read more]
Josh replied to the topic Massey has Utah #7, favored to win all remaining regular season contests. Ki-yi! in the forum Football 4 years, 5 months ago
Kind of
81% is the straight odds that we win out during regular season. But if you check that math it’s actually much higher.
Why?
We don’t really care about winning out necessarily, we care about NOT losing one more game. Yes, they are the same thing, but statistically they are not.
So…
what are the odds that we beat UCLA and Col…[Read more]
Josh replied to the topic Still 10 minutes left in this TxTech game on FS1…. in the forum Football 4 years, 6 months ago
It’s in FS2
Josh replied to the topic Rule #1: Don’t DM opposing players in the forum Football 4 years, 6 months ago
I’m an acquaintance of this guy. Never would have expected this behavior from him.
Josh started the topic Here's the thing in the forum Football 5 years, 5 months ago
we beat Arizona without Tate
We beat Stanford without Love
We beat USC without half their starters
We beat UCLA without Robinson
Maybe we have never been as good as we all supposed.
Josh became a registered member 5 years, 5 months ago