Saturday Odds


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    • #110868

      UteBacker
      Ute Fan
      @utebacker

      Stat experts- am I calculating this correctly?

      Massey gives us a 49% chance of beating Washington and gives USC a 46% chance of beating Oregon.  So the chances of the following scenarios are as follows:

      Utah W/ USC W 31.8%

      Utah W/ USC L 33.8%

      Utah L/ USC L 34.4%

      It’s going to be a stressful 7 hours on Saturday.  Buckle up.

    • #110869

      HoosierUte
      Ute Fan
      @hoosierute

      What about a Utah L and USC W?

      • #110870

        HoosierUte
        Ute Fan
        @hoosierute

        With both games at essential a 50-50 I’d put the probability of the best case (Utah/SC) W/L, worst case L/W and the pushes L/L, W/W at 25% each.  

      • #110871
        1

        UteBacker
        Ute Fan
        @utebacker

        My bad!

        Utah W USC L  25.8%

        Utah W USC W  23.8%

        Utah L USC L  26.3%

        Utah L USC W 24.3%

        Personally, I give Utah maybe a 60% chance, but that’s purely from an eyeball test.

    • #110873
      2

      GameForAnyFuss
      Ute Fan
      @gameforanyfuss

      Utah W AND USC L: 26.5%
      Utah W AND USC W: 22.5%
      Utah L AND USC L: 27.5%
      Utah L AND USC W: 23.5%

      • #110875
        7

        EagleMountainUte
        Ute Fan
        @battlegroundute

        26.5 is happening. 

      • #110881
        1

        Mr Chainsaw
        Ute Fan
        @mrchainsaw

        This is the correct answer.  Honestly I just want the Utah W, there is still too much football to worry about what other teams are doing.

        • #110895
          3

          Tony
          Admin/Founder
          @admin

          And without a Utah W the rest is meaningless.

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