Someone please correct me if I’m wrong, but I think if Utah wins out AND so do both USC and UCLA until they play each other, Utah gets the Rose Bowl regardless of the outcome of the CCG.
CCG Scenarios (if both of the above happen):
12-0 UCLA vs 10-2 Utah: if Utah wins, it goes to the Rose; UCLA may still qualify for the CFP, and if it does not, it likely still gets a NY6 game as a high ranking one-loss team (Cotton I would think). If UCLA wins, it is an undefeated conference champ and would make the CFP; Utah then still gets the Rose
11-1 USC vs 10-2 Utah: if Utah wins, it gets the Rose. If USC wins, it likely makes the CFP as a one loss conference champ with its only loss being a road game to the conference runner-up and by one point. USC would also boast wins over Utah, UCLA, and Notre Dame. Even if USC doesn’t get the CFP, they would get the Rose and Utah would have a very strong case for the Cotton. Rose is ideal, but Cotton is still NY6 and would be another major program highlight for us.
So if I have the above right, I think we need to root for both USC and UCLA the rest of the way, and then probably UCLA in the game between the two of them (because the Rose is a certainty for Utah- win or lose against UCLA in the CCG -whereas there is a small chance of USC not making the CFP as a one loss conference champ, and regardless of that I want another crack at UCLA on a neutral field).
All of the above is moot, though, if we drop another game. Tall task to win out too. Wazzu will be tough. Oregon will be very tough.
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