I am a fan of Sagarin Predictor (SP); it has a pretty good track record if you want to predict the winner of Team A vs Team B. If you look at the Pac-12 in SP the rankings are:
Oregon 43 83.11
Wash 48 82.43
Ariz St. 51 81.92
Ariz 56 80.74 (bubble)
Colo 67 79.67 (out)
That said, SP didn’t seem to do a good job predicting Pac-12 order of finish. Sadly these suggest that any Pac-12 team that gets in won’t survive the first game, certainly no Pac-12 team will make it to the Sweet 16.
In NET, that the NCAA Committee is supposedly relying on, they are currently ranked
Wash 40
Oregon 61 (bubble)
Ariz St 67 (out)
Colo 69
Ariz 94
NET is clearing killing the Pac-12; the Pac-12 better figure out NET for scheduling and do well in Nov and Dec; getting hot in Feb-Mar is not what it used to be.