This prediction is based on losing CCG, but makes sense that we likely won’t drop lower. If USC wins, they are like CFP, UW likely Rose, and we would be Alamo (I guess they could take Oregon and we slip to Holiday as we would have just been in Vegas).
But this also would mean a potential repeat of 2019 when we lost CCG to Oregon and went to Alamo against Texas. The team didn’t really take it too seriously and got beat bad 38-10. We could have a few opt outs anyway (CPIII, maybe others should like Kincaid but he likes playing too much).