krindor

The reality is the top tier of college football has been cut in half every 40 years basically since it started. And even from the beginning it was about how many resources they wanted to dedicate.

Football broke into College (later D2) and University (later D1) divisions. And then D2 split into D2 and D3, while D1 split into 1-A (later FBS) and…[Read more]

PFF tends to operate quite differently from the consensus at times. Which can absolutely be useful – nice to get a different perspective instead of just a thousand voices rehashing the same info – but I’d also be careful taking them as representative

Utah isn’t deep at LB anymore – lost a lot of younger guys. But that’s likely not an issue for this season so much as for future seasons. I’d love to add more talent to the room, but it’s probably the spot where youth and eligibility most needs to be prioritized

A few points here

1) Copying the link doesn’t help, since the post can be edited. You’d also need to screenshot

2) He’s purposely left himself enough leeway to avoid it. It’s not “If Utah wins the conference, I will…” or even “If a Pac12 team wins the conference, then…”. It’s “if these projections turn out to be true”. So let’s say Utah…[Read more]

Unfortunately I don’t have data back further than 6 years. And I could give you the year by year data….but then you get into small sample sizes and things get noisy, depending more on specific matchups. Which is why I like to use a rolling 5 year average.

And as to Nebraska, they get attention and discussion by random non-Nebraska fans.…[Read more]

I don’t think a single one of those programs is complaining about what he did there. He built Stanford up…and then they spent about a decade still contending under the guy who followed him. Built the 49ers up, and then left but they’re still doing well. Got Michigan a national championship.

Yeah, he left all of them, but how many Chargers fans…[Read more]

With the exception of last season (massive injuries and Rising unexpectedly out all year), preseason predictions seem to be pretty accurate for Utah. Here’s every year Utah was preseason ranked

• 2023: Started 14, Ended Unranked (#32) – Difference of -18
• 2022: Started 7, Finished 10 – Difference of -3
• 2021: Started 24, Finished 10 – Difference…

[Read more]

Yeah, I go back and forth on which I prefer. I generally like this arrangement more…but with the importance of finishing top 2 in your division I hate throwing Penn St, Ohio St, and Michigan all into the same division. Either one would work though

And yeah, Utah would barely be in for either setup, but I based it on what teams have drawn the…[Read more]

Alternate division arrangements (less balance between divisions but more respect for history)

FOX Conference
West: Oregon, USC, Washington, Utah
Central: Oklahoma, Nebraska, Oklahoma St, Colorado
North: Notre Dame, Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota
East: Ohio St, Michigan, Penn St, Michigan St

ESPN Conference
West: Texas, LSU, Texas A&M, TCU
Central:…[Read more]

Gets tons of money to networks ✅
Keeps regionalism and fosters rivalries (especially in division) ✅
Gives objective criteria for postseason participation ✅
Emphasizes importance of regular season while keeping playoffs an end-of-season ratings bonanza ✅

This is really interesting. I hadn’t seen this, but I did spend yesterday (this morning for most of you) putting together a 32 team superleague based on the highest drawing brands.

And it looks almost the exact same. Every team he listed is included, but a few others sneak in (Arkansas, Colorado, Minnesota, and South Carolina).

Mine would be…[Read more]

I don’t work in media, but I do a fair amount of work in data analytics. I pull the data from sportsmediawatch, and have every game from the last 6 years in a nice spreadsheet to organize it different ways.

As to the Utah brand, I think it’s definitely grown, but if you’re expecting it to just come up in random conversations, it’s certainly not…[Read more]

If you go simply by average in rated games, then yes, Army and Navy show up (though Navy is normally based on two games – Army and Notre Dame).

Which is why I don’t like those metrics. I use Viewership Score which is the last thing I have listed there and which I’ve developed specifically to account for those issues.

Ignoring unrated games or…[Read more]

So I made adjustments for everyone to keep them on equal footing. Here’s an easy hypothetical example of what I’m talking about.

Imagine in a particular season Utah were to draw 2M against USC, Washington and Oregon, and 1M each in the other 7 games on rated channels (with the FCS game and the game vs Arizona on unrated PAC12 Network). That’s…[Read more]

Over the last 5 years (2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023), theres a few different ways to rank teams, here’s where Utah finishes in each (among P5 and selected high-profile G5 teams who have been tangentially mentioned in expansion talks)

All Games (including CCG, bowls etc)

• Counting unrated games as zero viewership: Utah is #20 with 1.871M…

[Read more]

The Colorado game wasn’t actually Nielsen rated, so there was zero benefit from that.

There are some issues with this ranking of teams though. The big question is what to do with games that aren’t Nielsen rated.

Some (like this one) use just the average of Nielsen-rated games. Which is terrible because then you end up with a school like…[Read more]

Capitalism is still the worst economic system that happens to be better than all of the others. I think Churchill said that.

Not a knock on capitalism, but the quote you’re thinking of that’s attributed to Churchill was about democracy being the worst form of government that’s better than all the rest. Not about capitalism

Yup, from a betting perspective, it turns out that Vegas has a pretty good idea what they’re doing. There’s really not any value on the over. The under has a bit more value, just given the possibility of major injury/upheaval, but it’s really not a great bet either.

Vegas did a solid job setting the O/U, it’s almost like they’re professionals at this