In my pre-season predictions I picked BYU over LSU. With how things have played out over the last couple of weeks I am even more convinced that BYU will beat LSU. This isn’t to say that BYU is some world beater destined for the CFP, BYU just seems to catch teams like this at the right time. Texas, Oklahoma, UCLA, Michigan State, Mississipi State, etc., etc. They catch these teams when they have a new coach or when the current coach is on the hot seat or after they have lost a ton of talent, or any other reason that makes the other team ripe for an upset.
In this LSU game, they are taking on a team that is dealing with all of the following:
New HC – Yes, Orgeron took over halfway through last year, but that was with Miles’ staff and schemes. He now has his own staff and schemes.
New OC and scheme – First game under a new OC with a new scheme.
Lost a ton of talent to the NFL – The Tigers had as many players drafted as Utah.
Lost several starters/contributors to transfer – With Orgeron taking over, several players who were expected to start or contribute this year transferred out of the program.
Loss of their best defender to injury – Key is likely out while recovering from an injury.
Loss of several more players to suspension – An unknown number of players are suspended from this game, but rumors have the number at 7. Certainly at least a couple of those players would have played in this game.
LSU overlooking BYU – Due to that awful performance against PSU last week, LSU is likely overlooking BYU. On top of that, BYU already has their first game under the belts and has had a week to work on their deficiencies.
About the only thing not working in BYU’s favor in this game is that the game was moved to New Orleans instead of Provo or somewhere else out West.
I hope I’m wrong, but think I will be proven right. If they do win, I suppose it will help prevent our guys from taking them too lightly and we will likely be playing a top 25 team in week 2.
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