Search Results for 'sagarin'

[PlainsUte]

This week slipped to #11 in Sagarin composite.  #9 in Recent Performance.  55% chance of beating Oregon in Pac-12 Championship.

[PlainsUte]

Interesting how the human polls follow the computer rankings by about a week.  Sagarin had Utah at #10, #7 for recent performance last week. This week’s ranking should be out later today.

[PlainsUte]

There is a football ranking system run by a U Memphis math professor named DP Dwiggins who puts Utah at #7.  His site is called DPDsdogs.com

http://dpdsdogs.com/ncaa/fbsrank.htm

His methodology is here:

http://dpdsdogs.com/ncaa/rankexp.htm

One thing I note about his method is that there are 2 factors and each has a time-based weighting, so it is weighting recent performance high and more distant results less.  Since 2 of 3 of the Utes’ losses were early in the season, that probably helps a lot.   Jeff Sagarin has a separate scoring/ranking for “Recent Performance”.   Utes look good there, too.  Sagarin has Utes #10 in his “Overall” rankings and #7 in the Recent Performance.

 

[2008 National Champ]

I’ve actually got Utah tied for 9th in my adjusted Opponent Record ranking. A couple of caveats: 1) I don’t include opponents record until the game has been played, 2) I don’t calculate based on FCS record and I believe Sagarin does, and 3) I only calculate opponents record for games not involving the school.

I use the third option because I don’t feel like Utah, or any other school, should get extra credit for losing while at the same time being punished for winning.

If you go by straight opponents record, Utah has only played one team under .500. 6-2 parochial school, 7-0 SDSU, 4-4 WSU, 3-4 USC, 5-2 ASU, 5-2 OSU and whatever Weber’s record is. Utah’s opponents may not be getting national attention but it’s not like they’ve played dogs every week so far. 30-14 for FBS opponents.

[rbmw263]

tough schedule, much tougher circumstances. proud of these guys. lets go 1-0 this week.

[rbmw263]

sagarin conference ratings year over year will prove this is absolutely not the case. Of course our delusional proximity associates wont care

[PhiladelphiaUte]

Last week, Sagarin ranked the tdS’ SOS #112.  Then they played no one last week…

…and their SOS rose to #106!  How funny is THAT?  For months now, the whYners had been defending their SOS, while jeering at us because we hadn’t played a game yet, whereas Ute fans had been jeering at THEM for having played no one either. 

Now, after only 2 games, our SOS is ranked #7, and the zoobs’ SOS only moves up when they stop playing!  Haha!

[rbmw263]

theres a lot of talk from utah media how they finally get their first test tonight. Houston has played 1 single game and is ranked 43rd on sagarin. If they are as good as they say they are they better win by 28. And even then…we have no idea what houston is yet. Probably need them to play more than 2 games to determine that. 

[Swoop Doggy Dogg]

Their SP+ is top 30. Sagarin has them as a top 20 team. Massey 26th. 

Great offense, great special teams, and a mediocre defense. It will be like playing USC again. 

 

Scoring offense is in the top 20.

Total Offense is in the top 15 in the country. 

Red Zone Offense in the top 10 in the country. 

3rd down conversion rate is in the top 10 in the country. 

They pass for nearly 300 yards per game, while rushing for 172 on 4.66 yards per carry. 

They do give up a lot of sacks, one of the worst in the country. 

 

On defense, they are giving up about 29 points per game putting them in the middle of P5 teams. 

Their passing efficiency defense is in the bottom 12 of P5 teams. 

Total Defense ranks them 108th in the country. 

Their rush D ranks about 50th in the country, giving up 4.2 yards a run for 140 YPG. 

TO margin was fairly similar to Utah, both on the plus side. 

 

With a great passing offense, losing Blackmon is going to hurt us. Losing Hubert will hurt. Let’s see how many others are going to sit out the game for the sake of their NFL future. Playing a big brand in a new bowl might be an incentive to be excited. 

 

 

 

 

[UteFanatic]

Does anyone know how one would predict the outcome if Utah were to play Minnesota?  It seems likely that if Utah goes to the Rose Bowl, they have a very good chance of playing Minnesota.  I’m just wondering what that theoretical match up would look like.

I know there are ways of doing this using Sagarin, FPI, and SP+ rankings – but I don’t know how to do it.