shakeitsugaree

Cubs can clinch tonight!

this^

FPI formula is proprietary – which is all I need to know (cough bullshit cough).

I imagine it goes something like this:
[(# of stars, recruits) * (# of wins, last year) * (1000 if SEC team) * (100 if head coach a high profile name) * (10 if historic football school)] / (1000 if from small television market) = dogshit 💩

Wazzu – I’m in grad school here.

Well, this was from November 2106. Utah might have been my most hated Pac12 team at that time.

I like that Utah got 8 votes

Yeah, as happy as I am that our PK is a stud, I really don’t want to lead the nation in field goals.

OK, I think I understand where you are going. You are adding points across weeks, which I wasn’t doing. However, I think it’s a good idea – I will do that next week.

Maybe I have been unclear about the process. The points are only evaluating the most recent game, and are used to evaluate the ‘strength’ of a win or ‘severity’ of a loss. So:

1) rank teams by record
2) resolve ties by ‘strength’ of win this week

Cal is tied at second because they have three wins, no losses and no conference wins or…[Read more]

I liked it – thanks for posting

So, I ranked teams first on their overall win-loss records, then on their conference win-loss records, which gave me a bunch of ties:

3-0, 1-0: WSU & USC
3-0, 0-0: Oregon, Cal, UW, Colorado, Utah
2-1, 0-0: Zona & UCLA
1-2, 0-0: ASU
1-2, 0-1: Furd
1-3, 0-1: Beavs

Then, I used the points system to evaluate each team’s performance in this week’s…[Read more]

Points are additive, and the weighting system is purposeful – meaning, I tried to distribute the points based on what I consider to be most valuable (the ‘win’ is worth the most, against a good team is next, conference affiliation is worth less than the first two factors, etc). Here’s a breakdown of how I calculated the points:

Oregon = 5(win) +…[Read more]

I would like a method of looking at topics with most recent posts. On the mobile www site, topics with new posts are identified; I don’t see this designation on the app.

Thanks for all you do, Tony

Yeah, I’m not sure how UM4G’s 21-13 prediction lost to OnlyU’s 24-13 prediction.

Yes, absolutely this

If the house loses some small potatoes on the Utah/BYU game, who cares? They have much bigger money coming in elsewhere.

Great post

#15

One more thing

Just looked at the odds on the Utah/BYU game at Bovada. They are giving even money on Utah -3. I think this line keeps moving towards Utah, until the juice kicks in on the Utah point spread.

This may be where some of the confusion lies. The line will move until people stop betting on one side and start betting on the other. So,…[Read more]