popbirch


  • Utah would win any 6-3 or 7-2 threeway tie. In order for that to happen, without us needing to beat, Colorado needs to lose two more (UA and WSU).
    In order for that to definitely give us the championship win or lose to colorado, like you said, USC needs to lose either to UW or UCLA (doesn’t matter which) to get to three losses but they can’t…[Read more]

  • popbirch started the topic utes vs asu in the forum Football 3 years, 9 months ago

    A little utes vs ASU analysis 

    Scoring offense Utah 29.2/game vs 35.7  ASU win

    Rush offense 214 /game vs 155/game utah wins

    pass offense 212/game vs 239/game asu win

    scoring defense 22/game vs 36 game Utah wins

    rush defense 128/game vs 115/game asu wins

    pass defense 237/game vs 397/game (last in the nation) utah wins

    adj scoring offense,…[Read more]

  • popbirch started the topic utes vs asu in the forum Football 3 years, 9 months ago

    A little utes vs ASU analysis 
    Scoring offense Utah 29.2/game vs 35.7  ASU win
    Rush offense 214 /game vs 155/game utah wins
    pass offense 212/game vs 239/game asu win
    scoring defense 22/game vs 36 game Utah wins
    rush defense 128/game vs 115/game asu wins
    pass defense 237/game vs 397/game (last in the nation) utah wins
    adj scoring offense,…[Read more]

  • If Colorado loses two more and beats utah for utahs 3rd loss and USC loses one more we would win that 3 way tie. The tie breakers go as follows: 1. head to head against the teams in the tie. If USC loses any of their remaining games and finishes 6-3 they would be 1-1 against the other tied teams. The best colorado can do is be 1-1 with a utah…[Read more]

  • Colorado’s got 1 loss. If they lose two more, the most likely would be WSU (North) and Utah (South). That would leave them with 2 losses in the South. If Utah loses to Colorado, Utah would have 3 losses with 2 in the South, but Colorado still owns the tie breaker. USC’s likely remaining loss is at UW which would place USC with 3 losses, 2 in the…[Read more]

  • The Brian Allen strip/missed tackle that resulted in a td was partly fogals fault. If Mwilliams was in that play would have been stopped.

    Fogal is supposed to be over the top on that play but takes an atrocious angle to the catch and then runs full speed at the WR to make up for the bad angle and then makes a weak arm tackle attempt.

    If Allen…[Read more]

  • The Brian Allen strip/missed tackle was partly fogals fault. If Mwilliams was in that play would have been stopped.

    Fogal is supposed to be over the top on that play but takes an atrocious angle to the catch and then runs full speed at the WR to make up for the bad angle and then makes a weak arm tackle attempt.

    If Allen had just gone for the…[Read more]

  • Urbans teams are almost always some of the most heavily penalized teams. When he was here it was the same way. Like Utah said its a fine line between aggressive play and penalties. Urbans would much rather have tight coverage every play and a possible penalty than loose coverage. Same with oline play, his teams get called for holding much more…[Read more]

  • If we lose to UW we are 4-2 which means that if we win out  going 7-2 we would win all tie breakers with any other team that could also get to 7-2.  USC can win out and get to 7-2 but we beat them so we win that tie.  If both USC and colo get to 7-2 we still win that tie breaker since we own the best record against the teams in a 3 way tie (2-0 vs…[Read more]

  • I think the key to winning this game is about establishing the run and TO margin.

    If we can get the run game going early we can keep the ball out of their hands that is how you limit a fast scoring offense. That is always the best way to keep teams like that out of the game. That is what we typically try to do as much as possible against these…[Read more]

  • Utes vs Washington
    Scoring offense 29.9 vs 48.3 W for wash
    total offense 433 yd/game vs 483 yds/game W for Wash
    Adjusted scoring offense -.3pts/game vs 12.8 pts/game W for wash
    SCoring defense 21.6 vs 14.6pts/game W for Wash
    Total defense 363 yds/game vs 318 yds/game
    Turnover margin +8 vs +14 W for Wash
    Strength of offenses faced, average 74th in…[Read more]

  • popbirch replied to the topic Utes vs UCLA in the forum Football 3 years, 9 months ago

    The real answer to that is because people from utah don’t bet enough we end up giving the other team a few extra points on the spread in order to entice utah fans to bet more.

    The point spread is not really a prediction of the game, it is designed to draw equal betting on both sides so that the sports books make money.

    In most statistical…[Read more]

  • popbirch replied to the topic Utes vs UCLA in the forum Football 3 years, 9 months ago

    The adjusted scoring offense and defense numbers should directly address strength of schedule issues. For example, to better explain that number if UCLA scored 40 on a team that usually gives up 40 that not really a great game for them even though usually their offense scores 26 so it seems like they outperformed their opponent they really only…[Read more]

  • popbirch started the topic Utes vs UCLA in the forum Football 3 years, 9 months ago

    Utah is slightly better in almost every category that matters against UCLA.Utah- UCLAscoring offense 26.7-26 pts/game, Utah edgetotal yards 417-409 yds/game Utah edgeAdjusted scoring offense, points scored above teams average scoring defesnse, -4 vs -1Scoring defense 18.29- 23.14 Utah edgetotal defense 341-344 utah edgeAdjusted scoring defense,…[Read more]

  • popbirch replied to the topic Cal -1 opening line in the forum Football 3 years, 10 months ago

    I don’t think the defense got shredded. It wasn’t the best game they played. I think if you discount turnovers as luck then it’s a little easier to think we got shredded. But realistically turnovers are a skill that is enhanced or degraded by luck. There are teams that are good at generating tos and teams that aren’t. TOs are a part the game plan…[Read more]

  • popbirch replied to the topic 2014 USC Game in the forum Football 3 years, 10 months ago

    That game was actually pretty weird all around.
    Remember the first quarter when we returned a fumble for touchdown and Orphey dropped the ball after getting hit just prior to the endzone but was never reviewed. The pass was labeled backwards so it was fumbled. Free 7 pts for us. The same thing happened later in the game but for USC but was…[Read more]

  • popbirch's profile was updated 4 years, 10 months ago

  • I have stats model I use to try and predict games. Its usually pretty accurate starting after game 6 when games are more linked but. For fresno it predicted a score of 46-17 which was pretty close.
    Good news is for oregon it predicts a score of 34 for us and 33.6 for oregon. Should be a great game. Last year it predicted oregon in a blow out.…[Read more]

  • popbirch became a registered member 4 years, 10 months ago